Example

Let’s assume two players choose the following rosters:

Player 1:

• QBs – Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, Kyle Orton, Michael Vick
• RBs – LaDainian Tomlinson, Larry Johnson, Kevin Jones, DeShaun Foster
• WRs – Chad Johnson, Terry Glenn, Muhsin Muhammad, Hines Ward
• Ks – Adam Vinatieri, Robbie Gould, David Akers, Lawrence Tynes
• TEs – Daniel Graham, Desmond Clark, Tony Gonzalez, Jermaine Wiggins
• D, STs – Kansas City, New England, Chicago, Green Bay

Player 2:

• QBs – Brad Johnson, Ben Roethlisberger, Eli Manning, Jake Delhomme
• RBs – Tiki Barber, T.J. Duckett, Jamal Lewis, Julius Jones
• WRs – Steve Smith, Amani Toomer, Plaxico Burress, Reggie Wayne
• Ks – Mike Vanderjagt, Jeff Wilkins, John Kasay, Jay Feely
• TEs – Jason Witten, Marcus Pollard, Alge Crumpler, Christian Fauria
• D, STs – Atlanta, N.Y. Giants, Pittsburgh, Arizona

With the rosters chosen, let’s look at the outcome for Week 13 of the 2005 season:

Player 1:

P. Manning	A-D (187)	8-C (3)	6-S (0)	3-H (--1)
T. Brady	A-C (271)	8-H (0)	6-S (0)	3-D (19)
K. Orton	A-H (68)	8-H (0)	6-C (1)	3-H (0)
M. Vick	A-D (171)	8-H (0)	6-D (2)	3-C (27)

L. Tomlinson	K-D (86)	7-H (0)	5-D (24)
L. Johnson	K-C (140)	7-C (2)	5-H (9)
K. Jones (no cards)	No carries		No recs.
D. Foster	K-C (131)	7-C (2)	5-C (49)

C. Johnson	Q-D (54)
T. Glenn	Q-H (37)
M. Muhammad	Q-H (0)
H. Ward	Q-C (135)

A. Vinatieri	J-C (10 pts.)
R. Gould	J-S (13 pts.)
D. Akers	J-H (0 pts., no att., primary PK)
L. Tynes	J of D (7 pts.)

D. Graham	10-H (0 rec. yards)
D. Clark	10-H (6 rec. yards)
T. Gonzalez	10-H (25 rec. yards)
J. Wiggins	10-H (0 rec. yards)

Kansas City	9-D (27)	4-C (2)	2-C (153)
New England	9-S (3)	4-C (2)	2-D (49)
Chicago	9-S (7)	4-C (2)	2-D (65)
Green Bay	9-D (19)	4-S (3)	2-D (105)

Player 2:

B. Johnson	A-C (256)	8-D (2)	6-S (0)	3-D (8)
B. Roethlisberger	A-S (386)	8-C (3)	6-D (3)	3-D (2)
E. Manning	A-D (152)	8-H (0)	6-D (2)	3-H (0)
J. Delhomme	A-D (164)	8-D (2)	6-C (1)	3-D (1)

T. Barber	K-D (115)	7-H (0)	5-H (9)
T.J. Duckett	K-H (4)	7-H (0)	5-H (2)
J. Lewis	K-H (17)	7-H (0)	5-D (23)
J. Jones	K-D (74)	7-H (0)	5-S (88)

S. Smith	Q-D (65)
A. Toomer	Q-H (8)
P. Burress	Q-H (47)
R. Wayne	Q-H (50)

M. Vanderjagt	J-D (5)
J. Wilkins	J-H (1)
J. Kasay	J-D (6)
J. Feely	J-D (5)

J. Witten	10-H (5)
M. Pollard	10-H (10)
A. Crumpler	10-D (52)
C. Fauria	10-H (0)

Atlanta	9-D (24)	4-H (0)	2-C (133)
N.Y. Giants	9-C (10)	4-S (4)	2-D (67)
Pittsburgh	9-H (38)	4-D (1)	2-C (144)
Arizona	9-C (10)	4-S (3)	2-D (74)

Player 1 wins this matchup with four jacks. Player 2’s best hand is a full house, aces over kings.

In this particular week, Roethlisberger threw for 388 yards, giving Player 2 the Ace of Spades. Player 1 picked up the Ace of Hearts with Orton, who threw for fewer than 120 yards.

As you can see, only one four of a kind was scored. The probability of getting a 4OAK is dependent on the weekly statistics, but I chose these sample lineups with the goal of getting several 4OAKs (without knowing the stats for the week), and I scored only one with two lineups.

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